Home › Major League Soccer › St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes

Major League Soccer

St. Louis City

👍 Good · 8/15 pts

00:30

San Jose Earthquakes

🔥 Excellent · 15/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 00:30 📍 CITYPARK 🏆 Regular Season - 10

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

X2 (Draw or San Jose Earthquakes)

Odds

1.40

Implied chance

≈71%

San Jose Earthquakes are in dominant form with 5 straight wins and a perfect 4-0-0 away record, while St. Louis City have struggled with just 1 win in 8 matches and a negative goal difference. The statistical comparison heavily favors San Jose in form (75%), attack (73%), and defense (75%). Although St. Louis has a strong H2H record, the current form gap is too wide to ignore, making the X2 double chance a high-confidence play.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

80% conf.

Strong

Match Result ⭐ VALUE BET HIGH CONFIDENCE

Away Win (San Jose Earthquakes)

Odds

2.75

Implied chance

≈36%

San Jose Earthquakes are on a 5-match winning streak with a perfect away record, while St. Louis City have lost 4 of their last 5 and have the second-worst defense in the league (13 goals conceded). The implied probability from odds (36%) is significantly lower than the assessed probability (55%), creating a clear value betting opportunity. The 19% edge makes this a strong value bet despite the H2H history favoring St. Louis.

💡 Place as a single bet on any major bookmaker

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

⭐ 1 value bet identified

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

St. Louis City

2.30

≈43% chance

Draw

3.60

≈28% chance

San Jose Earthquakes

2.75

≈36% chance

Bookmaker margin: 7% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

3.40

≈29% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.30

≈77% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

2.62

≈38% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.44

≈69% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

1.73

≈58%

Under 1.5

2.00

≈50%

Over 3.5

8.00

≈13%

Under 3.5

1.08

≈93%

Over 4.5

19.00

≈5%

Under 4.5

1.02

≈98%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.36

Away or Draw

1.40

Home or Away

1.53

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

St. Louis City

L W D D W

👍 Good (8/15 pts)

San Jose Earthquakes

W W W W W

🔥 Excellent (15/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 7 meetings

St. Louis City: 6W (86%) Draws: 0 (0%) San Jose Earthquakes: 1W (14%)

Sep 2025 San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City 1 - 3

May 2025 St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 1

Feb 2025 St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes 1 - 2

Sep 2024 San Jose Earthquakes vs St. Louis City 1 - 2

Jul 2024 St. Louis City vs San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 0

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

St. Louis City

San Jose Earthquakes

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 22

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 4

🏆
Wins

▲ 8

🏅
League Position

▲ 1

📊 San Jose Earthquakes leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: San Jose Earthquakes

Category Comparison

25%

📋 Form

75%

27%

⚔️ Attack

73%

25%

🛡 Defence

75%

80%

🔁 H2H

20%

40.0%

🎯 Overall

60.0%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

X2 (Draw or San Jose Earthquakes)

Double Chance · 80% confidence

Odds

1.40

AI confidence

80%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

St. Louis City 33%

Draw 34%

San Jose Earth... 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

🏦 Bet With The Best

Bet9ja

100% Welcome Bonus up to ₦100,000

BET NOW

SportyBet

100% First Deposit Bonus up to ₦50,000

BET NOW

BetKing

100% Welcome Bonus up to ₦50,000

BET NOW

NairaBet

10% Welcome Bonus up to ₦250,000

BET NOW

← Back to all fixtures