Home League One Stockport County vs Port Vale
League One
Stockport County

Stockport County

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts
VS
18:45

Port Vale

😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
Port Vale
Home 45% Draw 45% Away 10%
🗓 Tue 28 Apr 2026, 18:45 📍 Edgeley Park, Stockport 🏆 Regular Season - 43 👨‍⚖️ A. Chilowicz
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
3 tips
Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.25
Implied chance
≈80%

The H2H record shows 0% over 2.5 goals in 3 meetings, with an average of 0.33 goals per game. Port Vale are in poor form (0.33 PPG last 3) and have scored only 34 goals all season, the second-lowest in the league. Stockport County's home defense is solid, and with both teams having full squads, a low-scoring affair is highly likely.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
80% conf.
Strong
BTTS No HIGH CONFIDENCE
BTTS No
Odds
1.28
Implied chance
≈78%

In 3 H2H meetings, BTTS has never occurred, and Port Vale have scored just 34 goals all season (0.77 per game). Stockport County have a strong home record (59% win rate) and are likely to keep a clean sheet against a side with declining form. The implied probability of 78% aligns with the assessed 80%, making this a solid selection.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each
78% conf.
Strong
1X2 HIGH CONFIDENCE
Stockport County
Odds
1.40
Implied chance
≈71%

Stockport County have a strong home record with a 59% win rate, while Port Vale have won only 23% of away games. The form advantage (62% vs 38%) and overall team comparison (65.8% vs 34.3%) favor the home side. With full squads available, Stockport County are expected to secure a routine win.

💡 Bet on the match result — Home Win, Draw or Away Win
76% conf.
Strong
3 high-confidence picks (75%+)
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Stockport County
1.40
≈71% chance
Draw
4.75
≈21% chance
Port Vale
5.75
≈17% chance
Bookmaker margin: 9% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
3.75
≈27% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.25
≈80% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
3.50
≈29% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.28
≈78% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
1.83
≈55%
Under 1.5
1.83
≈55%
Over 3.5
10.00
≈10%
Under 3.5
1.06
≈94%
Over 4.5
23.00
≈4%
Under 4.5
1.01
≈99%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.10
Away or Draw
1.80
Home or Away
1.50
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Stockport County
W L D W L
😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)
Port Vale
L L D W D
😐 Mixed (5/15 pts)
Head-to-Head — Last 3 meetings
2
1
Stockport County: 2W (67%) Draws: 0 (0%) Port Vale: 1W (33%)
Feb 2026 Port Vale vs Stockport County 0 - 4
Oct 2025 Port Vale vs Stockport County 0 - 3
Aug 2022 Port Vale vs Stockport County 1 - 0
📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge
Stockport County
Port Vale
67

Goals Scored
34
55
🥅
Goals Conceded
58
21
🏆
Wins
9
4
🏅
League Position
23
📊 Stockport County leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
45%
Draw
45%
Away Win
10%
Statistical favourite: Stockport County
Category Comparison
62%
📋 Form
38%
71%
⚔️ Attack
29%
36%
🛡 Defence
64%
67%
🔁 H2H
33%
65.8%
🎯 Overall
34.3%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 80% confidence
Odds
1.25
AI confidence
80%
+ 2 more tips — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes
What's your prediction?
Stockport Coun... 33%
Draw 34%
Port Vale 33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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