Historically, Swansea vs Charlton matches are extremely low-scoring, with 0 of the last 4 meetings going over 2.5 goals and 0 seeing both teams score. Swansea's home games and Charlton's away games have averaged 0 goals per game this season, and both teams have poor attacking output. The implied probability of 83% is slightly below my assessed 85%, but the edge is minimal, so this is not a value bet.

The BTTS No market is strongly supported by historical data, with 0 of the last 4 meetings featuring both teams scoring. Additionally, Swansea at home and Charlton away have recorded a 0% BTTS rate this season, indicating a consistent pattern of low-scoring, defensive matches. The implied probability of 75% is slightly below my assessed 80%, but the edge is not large enough to classify as a value bet.

Swansea's home advantage is significant, with a 45% win rate and only 6 losses in 22 home games, while Charlton struggles away with just 4 wins in 22 matches. The Double Chance 1X market covers Swansea win or draw, which aligns with Swansea's strong home form and Charlton's poor away record. The assessed probability matches the implied probability exactly, so there is no value edge.