Home J1 League Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima
J1 League
Tokyo Verdy

Tokyo Verdy

😐 Mixed · 5/15 pts
VS
04:00

Kashima

🔥 Excellent · 13/15 pts
Kashima
Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%
🗓 Wed 29 Apr 2026, 04:00 📍 Ajinomoto Stadium, Tokyo 🏆 Regular Season - 13
🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match
AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering
2 tips
Under 2.5 Goals HIGH CONFIDENCE
Under 2.5
Odds
1.11
Implied chance
≈90%

H2H history shows 0% BTTS in last 5 meetings with average 2.2 goals per game, indicating low-scoring affairs. Kashima's defence is elite, conceding only 0.58 goals per game overall, while Tokyo Verdy's home games have seen 0% BTTS and 0% Over 2.5 rates in 6 matches. The implied probability of 90% aligns with the assessed 90%, making this a high-confidence play without value.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored stay below the line
85% conf.
Strong
Away Win ⭐ VALUE BET HIGH CONFIDENCE
Kashima
Odds
1.80
Implied chance
≈56%

Kashima are top of the table with 32 points and an impressive 10-0-2 record, including 4-0-2 away. Their recent form is excellent with 3 consecutive wins, while Tokyo Verdy have only 5/15 points in their last 5. The statistical comparison heavily favours Kashima across all categories, and the implied probability of 56% is lower than the assessed 65%, offering a 9% edge for value.

💡 Place as a single bet on any major bookmaker
80% conf.
Strong
2 high-confidence picks (75%+)
1 value bet identified
All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly
📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood
Match Result — 1X2
Tokyo Verdy
4.75
≈21% chance
Draw
3.30
≈30% chance
Kashima
1.80
≈56% chance
Bookmaker margin: 7% · Lower margin = better value for bettors
Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5 goals
6.50
≈15% chance
Under 2.5 goals
1.11
≈90% chance
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
Yes — both score ✓
4.33
≈23% chance
No — clean sheet ✗
1.20
≈83% chance
Other Totals
Over 1.5
2.50
≈40%
Under 1.5
1.50
≈67%
Over 3.5
19.00
≈5%
Under 3.5
1.02
≈98%
Over 4.5
10.00
≈10%
Under 4.5
1.06
≈94%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
1.50
Away or Draw
1.14
Home or Away
1.73
🏟 Form & Head-to-Head
Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)
Tokyo Verdy
W D L D L
😐 Mixed (5/15 pts)
Kashima
W W W D W
🔥 Excellent (13/15 pts)
Head-to-Head — Last 5 meetings
1
1
3
Tokyo Verdy: 1W (20%) Draws: 1 (20%) Kashima: 3W (60%)
Mar 2026 Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy 2 - 0
Nov 2025 Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima 0 - 1
Feb 2025 Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy 4 - 0
Aug 2024 Tokyo Verdy vs Kashima 2 - 1
May 2024 Kashima vs Tokyo Verdy 3 - 3
📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge
Tokyo Verdy
Kashima
17

Goals Scored
20
15
🥅
Goals Conceded
7
7
🏆
Wins
10
5
🏅
League Position
1
📊 Kashima leads on 4/4 comparable stats
🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data
Home Win
10%
Draw
45%
Away Win
45%
Statistical favourite: Kashima
Category Comparison
43%
📋 Form
57%
46%
⚔️ Attack
54%
33%
🛡 Defence
67%
29%
🔁 H2H
71%
38.0%
🎯 Overall
62.0%
🎯 AI Match Verdict
Top recommended bet:
Under 2.5
Under 2.5 Goals · 85% confidence
Odds
1.11
AI confidence
85%
+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓
🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes
What's your prediction?
Tokyo Verdy 33%
Draw 34%
Kashima 33%
📖 How to Use This Page
1
Check Our AI Picks
Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.
2
Understand the Odds
Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.
3
Study the Stats
The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.
4
Place Your Bet
Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.
⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.
🎚 Confidence Tiers
80%
75%+ — Strong Pick
High AI conviction. Prioritise these.
70%
65–74% — Decent Pick
Good signal, some uncertainty remains.
55%
Below 65% — Speculative
Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.
📚 Market Glossary
1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win
Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match
Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match
BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal
Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds
Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw
⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be
Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)
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