Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes are the league leaders with a perfect away record (5 wins from 5) and have won their last 5 matches overall. Toronto FC have won only 2 of 7 home games and are trending downward with 0.67 PPG in their last 3. The statistical comparison gives San Jose a 66.8% overall advantage, and the X2 double chance covers both a draw and an away win, which is highly probable given Toronto's struggles.
San Jose Earthquakes are in dominant form with a perfect away record and the best defence in the league (0.6 goals conceded per game). Toronto FC have been inconsistent at home with just 2 wins in 7 and are on a declining trend. The implied probability of 43% undervalues San Jose's chances, as their away dominance and Toronto's poor form suggest a win probability closer to 60%, offering significant value.
Historical H2H data strongly supports under 2.5 goals, with only 20% of meetings exceeding that total and 0% BTTS rate. San Jose's elite defence (0.6 goals conceded per game) and Toronto's modest attack (17 goals in 10 games) suggest a low-scoring affair. The implied probability of 80% aligns with the assessed probability, so no value edge exists, but the confidence is solid based on multiple signals.
Goals Scored
Goals Conceded
Wins
Position