Home › Liga 3 › União Santarém vs Academica

Liga 3

União Santarém

⚠️ Poor · 1/15 pts

10:00

Academica

👍 Good · 8/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:00 📍 Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem 🏆 Promotion Group - 11

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

X2 (Draw or Academica)

Odds

1.17

Implied chance

≈85%

Academica dominates in form (89% vs 11%), attack (67% vs 33%), and defence (58% vs 42%) per the statistical comparison. União Santarém has lost 4 of their last 5 matches and has a poor home win rate of 33%. Academica's away record includes 2 wins and 4 draws in 9 games, making the draw or away win highly probable.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

80% conf.

Strong

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

12 (União Santarém or Academica)

Odds

1.67

Implied chance

≈60%

The H2H record shows only 2 draws in 7 meetings (29%), and both teams have shown a tendency to avoid draws recently—União Santarém has 4 losses in last 5, Academica has 2 wins and 1 loss in last 5. With Academica's clear overall advantage (63.5% vs 36.5%), a win for either side is more likely than a draw, giving a 76% assessed probability against 60% implied.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

75% conf.

Strong

✅ 2 high-confidence picks (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

União Santarém

4.10

≈24% chance

Draw

3.40

≈29% chance

Academica

1.75

≈57% chance

Bookmaker margin: 10% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

2.10

≈48% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.70

≈59% chance

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.53

Away or Draw

1.17

Home or Away

1.67

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

União Santarém

D L L L L

⚠️ Poor (1/15 pts)

Academica

W D L D W

👍 Good (8/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 7 meetings

União Santarém: 1W (14%) Draws: 2 (29%) Academica: 4W (57%)

Feb 2026 Academica vs União Santarém 3 - 1

Nov 2025 União Santarém vs Academica 1 - 1

Aug 2025 Academica vs União Santarém 1 - 0

May 2025 Academica vs União Santarém 0 - 4

Feb 2025 União Santarém vs Academica 0 - 0

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

União Santarém

Academica

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 29

14 ▲

🥅
Goals Conceded

🏆
Wins

▲ 7

🏅
League Position

▲ 3

📊 Academica leads on 3/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: Academica

Category Comparison

11%

📋 Form

89%

33%

⚔️ Attack

67%

42%

🛡 Defence

58%

38%

🔁 H2H

62%

36.5%

🎯 Overall

63.5%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

X2 (Draw or Academica)

Double Chance · 80% confidence

Odds

1.17

AI confidence

80%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

União Santarém 33%

Draw 34%

Academica 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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