Home › CONMEBOL Sudamericana › Vasco DA Gama vs Olimpia

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Vasco DA Gama

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

22:00

Olimpia

👍 Good · 8/15 pts

Home 0% Draw 50% Away 50%

🗓 Thu 30 Apr 2026, 22:00 🏆 Group Stage - 3

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

BTTS No HIGH CONFIDENCE

Odds

1.25

Implied chance

≈80%

Vasco has failed to score in their only home game, while Olimpia has kept a clean sheet in their only away match. Both teams have a 0% BTTS rate in those splits, and Olimpia's defense is statistically 100% superior. The implied probability of 80% aligns with the assessed probability, making this a fair but not value bet.

💡 Both teams must score at least 1 goal each

75% conf.

Strong

Double Chance ⭐ VALUE BET

X2 (Draw or Olimpia)

Odds

1.57

Implied chance

≈64%

Olimpia's perfect away record (1W/0D/0L) and Vasco's failure to score at home (0 goals in 1 home game) strongly favor the visitors avoiding defeat. The statistical comparison shows Olimpia with 100% defensive advantage, while Vasco's home win rate is 0%. With Olimpia's form declining but still superior overall, the X2 double chance offers value at 1.57 odds.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

65% conf.

Decent

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

⭐ 1 value bet identified

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Vasco DA Gama

1.75

≈57% chance

Draw

3.80

≈26% chance

Olimpia

4.50

≈22% chance

Bookmaker margin: 5% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

5.50

≈18% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.14

≈88% chance

Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Yes — both score ✓

3.75

≈27% chance

No — clean sheet ✗

1.25

≈80% chance

Other Totals

Over 1.5

2.25

≈44%

Under 1.5

1.57

≈64%

Over 3.5

15.00

≈7%

Under 3.5

1.03

≈97%

Over 4.5

8.00

≈13%

Under 4.5

1.08

≈93%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.12

Away or Draw

1.57

Home or Away

1.62

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Vasco DA Gama

L W W L D

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Olimpia

L D D W W

👍 Good (8/15 pts)

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Vasco DA Gama

Olimpia

⚽
Goals Scored

▲ 2

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 0

🏆
Wins

▲ 1

🏅
League Position

▲ 1

📊 Olimpia leads on 4/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

Draw

50%

Away Win

50%

Statistical favourite: Olimpia

Category Comparison

13%

📋 Form

88%

25%

⚔️ Attack

75%

🛡 Defence

100%

🔁 H2H

19.0%

🎯 Overall

81.5%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

BTTS No · 75% confidence

Odds

1.25

AI confidence

75%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Vasco DA Gama 33%

Draw 34%

Olimpia 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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