Waalwijk
Roda
Historical H2H data shows extremely low-scoring matches, with only 1 of the last 10 meetings exceeding 2.5 goals and an average of just 0.9 goals per game. Both teams are in declining form, with Waalwijk averaging 1.33 PPG and Roda 0.67 PPG over their last 3, suggesting a lack of attacking momentum. The implied probability of 44% for under 2.5 goals is significantly lower than my assessed 70%, offering strong value.
The H2H record is extremely strong for BTTS No, with both teams failing to score in all 10 recent meetings. The low average of 0.9 goals per game further supports that at least one team is likely to be shut out. With both sides in declining form, the probability of both scoring remains low, though the odds offer minimal value as the implied probability is close to my assessed 75%.