Home › Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 › Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Xerez Deportivo

⚠️ Poor · 4/15 pts

10:00

Xerez

😐 Mixed · 7/15 pts

Home 10% Draw 45% Away 45%

🗓 Sun 26 Apr 2026, 10:00 📍 Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera 🏆 Group 4 - 33

🎯 Our AI Picks for This Match

AI-ranked by confidence · only the bets worth considering

2 tips

Double Chance HIGH CONFIDENCE

Xerez or Draw (X2)

Odds

1.22

Implied chance

≈82%

Xerez is the stronger side with a 64% advantage in form and defence, while Xerez Deportivo has lost 4 of their last 5 matches and has a home win rate of only 31%. Xerez's away record (6W/4D/6L) combined with the home side's poor form makes the X2 double chance highly probable at 82% assessed probability, matching the implied probability from odds of 1.22.

💡 Double Chance — covers two of the three possible outcomes

78% conf.

Strong

Under/Over Goals

Under 2.5 Goals

Odds

1.44

Implied chance

≈69%

Historical H2H data shows only 33% of meetings have exceeded 2.5 goals, and both teams have modest scoring rates with Xerez Deportivo conceding 1.25 per game and Xerez conceding 0.75 per game. The negative goals market signal of -3.5 further supports a low-scoring affair, giving Under 2.5 a 72% assessed probability against a 69% implied probability, though the edge is minimal.

💡 Bet on whether total goals scored exceed the line

72% conf.

Decent

✅ 1 high-confidence pick (75%+)

All tips generated by AI · Gamble responsibly

📊 Odds & Implied Probability Opening odds · % = bookmaker's implied likelihood

Match Result — 1X2

Xerez Deportivo

3.00

≈33% chance

Draw

2.90

≈34% chance

Xerez

2.25

≈44% chance

Bookmaker margin: 11% · Lower margin = better value for bettors

Goals Total — Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5 goals

2.62

≈38% chance

Under 2.5 goals

1.44

≈69% chance

Double Chance

Home or Draw

1.36

Away or Draw

1.22

Home or Away

1.80

🏟 Form & Head-to-Head

Recent Form (last 5 games · W=Win D=Draw L=Loss)

Xerez Deportivo

L D L L W

⚠️ Poor (4/15 pts)

Xerez

D W L L W

😐 Mixed (7/15 pts)

Head-to-Head — Last 9 meetings

Xerez Deportivo: 5W (56%) Draws: 2 (22%) Xerez: 2W (22%)

Jan 2026 Xerez vs Xerez Deportivo 1 - 0

Apr 2025 Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez 2 - 1

Dec 2024 Xerez vs Xerez Deportivo 0 - 0

Apr 2024 Xerez Deportivo vs Xerez 1 - 1

Nov 2023 Xerez vs Xerez Deportivo 1 - 2

📈 Season Stats Comparison ▲ = statistical edge

Xerez Deportivo

Xerez

32 ▲

⚽
Goals Scored

🥅
Goals Conceded

▲ 24

🏆
Wins

▲ 16

🏅
League Position

▲ 5

📊 Xerez leads on 3/4 comparable stats

🔮 Statistical Model Predictions API-Football algorithm — reference data

Home Win

10%

Draw

45%

Away Win

45%

Statistical favourite: Xerez Goals signal: -3.5

Category Comparison

36%

📋 Form

64%

40%

⚔️ Attack

60%

36%

🛡 Defence

64%

62%

🔁 H2H

38%

45.5%

🎯 Overall

54.5%

🎯 AI Match Verdict

Top recommended bet:

Xerez or Draw (X2)

Double Chance · 78% confidence

Odds

1.22

AI confidence

78%

+ 1 more tip — scroll down ↓

🗳️ Fan Poll 0 votes

What's your prediction?

Xerez Deportiv... 33%

Draw 34%

Xerez 33%

📖 How to Use This Page

Check Our AI Picks

Look for tips with 75%+ confidence (green ring). These are our strongest signals. ⭐ Value Bet means the odds may be higher than expected.

Understand the Odds

Each odds cell shows the bookmaker's implied probability (%). Compare this to the AI's confidence — if AI confidence is higher than implied %, that's a potential value opportunity.

Study the Stats

The ▲ arrows show which team has the statistical edge. Check form, H2H history, and season stats before deciding. A 🔥 Excellent form team with H2H dominance is a stronger pick.

Place Your Bet

Use a bookmaker below. Find the match → go to the market shown on the tip → select the outcome → confirm your stake.

⚠️ Gamble responsibly. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. Tips are AI-generated for entertainment — not guaranteed outcomes.

🎚 Confidence Tiers

80%

75%+ — Strong Pick

High AI conviction. Prioritise these.

70%

65–74% — Decent Pick

Good signal, some uncertainty remains.

55%

Below 65% — Speculative

Lower confidence. Smaller stakes advised.

📚 Market Glossary

1X2 — Home Win / Draw / Away Win

Over 2.5 — 3 or more goals total in the match

Under 2.5 — 2 or fewer goals total in the match

BTTS Yes — Both teams each score ≥1 goal

Double Chance — Covers 2 outcomes, lower risk & lower odds

Draw No Bet — Win if your team wins; stake back on draw

⭐ Value Bet — AI thinks odds are higher than they should be

Implied % — The bookmaker's probability (1 ÷ odds × 100)

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